Skip to main content

Back to winning ways. Tennis is still shite. AH underdog line is back. Atletico MG turn around Copa Libertadores

Again looks high at 1.94 v Pujol
Mixed fortune again across other sports, but a stonking day with the footy and particularly an old tactic I used to use to see me through this tough patch. The power of the AH underdog is not to be underestimated. In many cases, a team may have superior form and playing potential but will be (rightfully so in some cases) given the underdog status, especially if away from home. However, with the counter attack being a prevalent tactic in the modern game, and in a lot of occasions is more  potent than possession football, it leaves the door wide open for the win AND the draw. Straight wins/losses for teams have become hard to predict, with a lot of late goals scuppering a win either way. Yesterday, without looking at the stats, was probably a 8/10 tips won day, all on around the evens mark.

Tennis is still doing my head in I'm afraid. Just when you think you have your entry points sussed out for maximum value something pathetic happens. Yesterday Rhine Williams was up 6-2 in the first set tie break having been in no bother whatsoever serving wise for the entire set. He then failed to make any points in the next 6 points to land Hewitt the first set, the momentum and the match. Simply appalling choking. Tennis is getting a pathetic lottery and at the moment there is too much to be gained from football to try and broaden my sporting bets.

Just to highlight a few possible entry points though, Delbonis is around 1.94 to beat Granollers-Pujol. Don't forget Delbonis is on a run of 1 loss in 12 so the 1.94 looks mega appetizing. My hatred for Tipsarevic may have something to do with me wanting to oppose him against Robin Haase (2.37-1.53). I just don't rate Tipsarevic at all, he's a major choker and his form has been chronic.

And finally Atletico MG turned around a first leg 2-0 deficit, to win the game after being 0-0 at HT v Olimpia. They scored two in normal play, and then won the shootout. This was even more gratifying as my MG -1.25 bet sailed in as well as a Sending Off at 2.78 (Manzur)....great stuff!