Friday, 27 November 2015

NBA plays

Hornets +4 1.90
Magic -3.5 1.90
Miami -1.5 1.90
Celtics -3 1.90
Grizzlies -3 1.90
Bulls +4 1.90
Pistons +8 1.90
76ers +10.5 1.90
Spurs -7 1.90
Warriors -8.5 1.90
Kings -2 1.86
Pelicans +6.5 1.90

Hornets +9/Heat +4.5 1.93
Grizzlies +2.5/Bulls +9 2.00
Spurs -2.5/Warriors -3.5 2.00
Teplice 02.5 1.86
Podbrezova o2.5 1.85
Lustenau o2.75 1.98
Polten o2.75 1.88
Innsbruck o2.75 1.92
Zulte o2.75 2.02
Lyon o2.25 1.83
Dundee o2.5 2.04
Sol de America o2.75 1.80
Rubio Nu o2.75 1.94
Defensor o3 1.90

Thursday, 26 November 2015

US plays

NFL
Panthers +1.5 1.91 5u

Football punts

Mumbai o2.25 1.88
Krasnodar o2.75 1.92
Krasnodar o1.5 team 2.70
Minsk o2.25 1.84
Rubin Kazan o2.25 1.96
Basel o2.5 1.95
Napoli o2.5 1.80
Sporting o2.25 1.87
Rosenborg o2.5 1.95
Augsburg o2.75 1.97
Qarabag o2.25 2.02
AZ Alkmaar o2.75 1.93
Lazio o2.5 2.00
Lazio o1.5 team 1.90
Lazio -0.75AH 2.00
Braga o2.5 1.85
Celtic o2.75 2.02
Villareal o2.75 1.97
Villareal o1.5 team 1.70
Molde o2.5 1.85
Legia Warsaw o2.25 1.80
Liverpool BTTS 2.20
Liverpool o2.5 2.00
River Plate o2 1.82
Potosi o3 1.85
Audax o2.75 1.94
Villareal/Schalke o1.5 team 2.20

Wednesday, 25 November 2015

Football punts

Zenit II o2.5 1.88
Porto B o1.5 team 1.70
Mioveni o2.25 1.85
Benfica 2.12
Wolfsburg +0.25AH 1.94
Wolfsburg o1.5 team 2.20 
CSKA o2.75 2.04
Man Utd o2.5 1.87
Monchengladbach o3 2.03
Monchengladbach o1.5 team 2.00
Atletico -1.5AH 1.80
Atletico o2.75 1.95
Atletico o1.5 team/Man Utd o1.5/Wolfsburg to score 2.20
Real Madrid o3 2.05
Shakhtar o1.5 team 2.50
Man Utd BTTS 2.00
Real Madrid o1.5 team 1.80 3u
PSG o3 2.00
PSG o1.5 team/Atletico o1.5 team 1.80 2u

Tuesday, 24 November 2015

Football punts

Austria Salzburg o2.75 1.82
Bury o2.5 1.93
Gillingham o2.5 1.89
Gillingham o1.5 team 2.10
Peterborough o2.75 1.81
Peterborough o1.5 team 1.80
Walsall o2.5 1.87
Accringotn o2.5 1.94
Wimbledon o2.5 1.89
Crawley o2.5 1.94
Morecambe o2.75 2.05
Plymouth o2.5 2.01
Chester o2.5 1.86
Fylde o2.75 1.93
Concord Rangers o2.75 1.89
Zenit o2 1.60
Zenit o1.5 team 2.30 
Lyon o2.5 1.85
Barce/Bayern/Arsenal o1.5 team 1.83 2u
Suarez/Lewandowsi anytime 2.33
BATE o2.75 2.00
Barcelona o2.5 team 1.80
(+6.37u)

Monday, 23 November 2015

NBA play

Cavaliers -3.5/Spurs -3.5 1.96
Hornets/Heat 2.34
Jazz/Timberwolves 2.07

Football punts

Sparta Prague U21 o3.5 1.84
Cracovia o2.5 1.98
Aalborg o2.5 1.92
Pandurri 1.91
Cagliari o1.5 team 1.60 3u
Cagliari o2.5 2.00
Quilmes o2 2.03
Cagliari o1.5/Rostov to score/Cracovia o1.5 2.00 3u
Rostov o2 1.70 2u
Cracovia o1.5 team 2.25 2u
Cracovia o1.5/Cagliari o1.5 team 2.02 2u
Jong Ajax o3 2.00

Sunday, 22 November 2015

Thursday, 19 November 2015

NBA play

Kings +15.5/Bucks +15.5 2.00 5u

Going out with a bang tonight.

BOL

Tuesday, 17 November 2015

Tonight's plays

Hawks -3.5 1.91
Cavaliers -3.5 1.89
Timberwolves +13.5/Warriors -3.5 1.96 3u
Brazil o2.75 2.05
Paraguay -1.5AH 1.94
Colombia o2 2.00
Uruguay o2.25 2.11
Uruguay BTTS 2.00
Poland o2.25 1.86
Austria o2.25 1.90
Portugal o2.5 1.96
USA o2.25 1.97
Warriors -8.5 1.91
Margate o2.75 1.90
Truro o2.75 2.00
Morecambe o2.75 2.00
Hibernian -1.5AH 1.95

Saturday, 14 November 2015

NBA

Detroit o199.5 2.00
Wizards o203.5 2.00
Cavaliers o195 2.00

Today's Football

Chad o2.5 1.83
Slovan Liberec o2.5 1.88
Colchester o2.75 1.83
Accrington o2.5 1.87
Luton o2.5 1.91
Luton BTTS 1.73
Boreham Wood o2.5 1.88
Forest Green o2.5 1.77
Wrexham o2.75 1.97
Wrexham BTTS 1.80
Botswana BTTS 2.20
Boston o3 2.00
Hednesford o2.75 1.85
Maidenhead o2.75 1.91
Margate o2.75 1.85
Truro o2.75 1.91
Newtown o2.75 1.86
Sheffield United ML 1.88
Swindon o2.75 2.03
Sheffield United o2.5 1.95

Thursday, 12 November 2015

Tonight's US plays

NBA
Pistons -2 1.90 3u
Spurs -6.5 1.90
Hawks -12 1.90
Grizzlies +7.5 1.90
Celtics u202.5 1.90
Lakers +8 1.90
Hawks u209 1.90
Nets +12 1.90
Lakers o201.5 1.90
Hornets o200 1.90
Hornets -5.5 1.90
Raptors -9.5 1.90

NHL
Habs ML 2.20
Ducks Reg 1.90

Wednesday, 11 November 2015

Vestsjaelland v Vendsyssel

Tomorrow there is Danish League Division 1 match between the two teams above, and I can't understand the price. This is not to say that it is wrong by the way.

As of now, these are the current best lines.



Here is the current league table.



Let's look at some statistics.

Firstly this Danish league looks a fairly low scoring league. Although Vendsyssel have scored 24 goals from 16 games  (1.5 goals a game) they are still the third highest scorers in the division. More importantly they have the joint best defensive record in the league, conceding 13.

They have only lost once this season, a 2-0 away loss to Koge.



Some more stats.


Away record breakdown of league.


Their ability to equalize should they go behind stands at 86%. Their ability to not concede an equalizing goal should they go in front is 100%.  This means that so far this season, they have only failed to equalize should they go behind 14% of the time. If they take the lead, they invariably win.

Let's have a look at Vestsjaelland.



Their only win this season was at home to Helsingor who are currently 7th (out of 12).  They scored one fifth of their seasons goals (15) in one game therefore.

Here's a couple more stats.


The obvious con here is the fact that Vestsjaelland have earned almost 90% of their points this season at home. However, 90% of 8 points overall needs to be put into perspective. Just over two thirds of the time too, they concede the opening goal which, if this ties in with the other stats, bodes well for the away side who haven't conceded an equaliser yet whilst taking the lead.

The average time for a goal conceded for the home team is around the HT mark, whilst the same can be said of the away teams average time of scoring. If this is the case, then I would like to get on the home team clean sheet no if the score is 0-0 approaching minutes 30-35. At the moment the odds are too low. 

Bet Victor are offering Vendsyssel at Asian Handicap +0AH 1.86. This means that if the match ends in a draw the bet is refunded. I am liking this bet a lot. In my experience in gambling, nine times out of ten these trap matches end in disaster; it's just too good to be true. But I'm going to live a little and take a calculated punt. I wouldn't recommend following in this much, but it seems a reasonable bet nevertheless. I'm willing to go in at £750 here which is around the profit I made last month, so I'm playing with won money here. I'll also be taking a few quid on the away side to win outright and will get on the away side to score at least one during in play at around 35 minutes if 0-0. However, here is my main bet.

Vestsjaelland v Vendsyssel.
My punts -
Vendsyssel +0AH 1.86 15u