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Seoul v Beijing Guoan, AFC Champions League Play Off, 11.30am.

Game 2 in the underdog betting system, game one last night was a winner with Mallorca and Betis coming in at under 1.5 goal at 4.8!

Raw stats time -



Smart money says that Seoul are red hot favourites. 3 wins in 6 with just 1 loss. Beijing have only won ONE of their last six games with two losses and three draws.

Seoul's goals scored and conceded tally equals 4.33 at home in the AFC and 4.33 home in the K-League. Impressively high stuff. Rather surprisingly then over 2.5 can be found at near enough 2.1!

One reason may be that of Beijing's defensive record in the AFC away from home, 3 games 3 nil-nils. In the league they boast a dead on 2.00 average from 4 games.

Key stats that stick out then -

Seoul have failed to score ZERO times in the league so far this season and ZERO times in the AFC at home. Beijing have only won ONE game in their last six, at home to Changchum. In a combined goals scored in both the AFC away and their league away they have scored just 3 goals in 7 games. In the AFC, Beijing have THREE draws out of THREE all nil-nil. 

Conclusions for backing against the stats -

I'm taking out the draw, the likelihood of three consecutive draws in the AFC from Beijing is too high. Seoul's goals scored and conceded tally in all competitions is high, they generally score. They have failed to score no times out of nine games at home and Beijing have a poor scoring record away from home.

Beijing to win then at 6.6 seems like the highest odds bet that opposes the stats in a zero sum game. (0-1 to Beijing is also at 18.00)
£20
LOSS