Showing posts with label betting thoughts. Show all posts
Showing posts with label betting thoughts. Show all posts

Thursday, 13 June 2013

Today's insight. Daniel Evans, Simona Halep and England Cricket included

Glad I bailed on Atletico MG last night as they went down to Santos 0-1, even though they had two goals disallowed. For today proper then, there's a few bits and pieces that I may focus on. I'll be checking the football in play out although there isn't much on in all honesty.There's an Egyptian game on between Sakandary and Daklyeh in which both teams may attack, so there could be an opportunity for trading goals. At 4.30pm there's a host of Finnish games on, in which again there may be goals and +0.5 opportunities if the favourites go behind early.

Gulbis is 2.75 to beat Tommy Haas today due on court from 4.30pm onwards, so any Gulbis fans may look to back him at this price. Querrey-Hewitt may be a lively encounter and there shouldn't be much between then on the exchanges. Remember Hewitt beat Dimitrov yesterday and is a grass past master. Three sets maybe?

I'll tell you one bet I fancy and that's Britain's Daniel Evans to beat Del Potro. You can have a look at the straight win at around 8.8, or with a +4.5 games handicap 2.02. That's a 6-4 6-4 loss, and still a winning bet. Personally I'll be looking to lay Del Potro from the off, £50 will put your liability at £6.50, and you should always be ahead of the curve should Evans start well. Remember he beat the tough Nieminen in three sets yesterday. Del Potro has lost 4 of his last 7 games and I don't know, but he just looks unfit to me.

And looks at all these to be traded -


Say what you like about women's tennis, but there are huge opportunities to trade. Madison Keys seems to be finding a little form beating Jamie Hampton last round, a very big win for her. She has the power she just needs to be more consistent and keep balls in play. So I'll be doing some more research into her match with Marthel, but 1.72 looks good to me for a SP.

Halep and Jankovic will be in action too in Nurnberg and the hope is that Halep starts slowly to get in on her in-play. But, she has started like an absolute train the last two matches and completely blitzed Candela in 53 minutes yesterday. A loss of service early on will be like gold dust, failing that the hope is that Voskoboeva serves first, wins, and Halep increases to around 1.4/1.45. This would then be a great price if you want to take a position as early as possible. Halep is currently 1.32 to win from the off. 

And England play Sri Lanka at 1pm, again this one is probably best left to watch for a while. 1.61 for England isn't great, but they will undoubtedly play their home conditions better. An early wicket for Sri Lanka would be good, or a decent Sri Lanka start with the bat could see England drift to 1.8s if you want an England angle.

Thursday, 6 June 2013

Today's betting thoughts

Not much action for me today, feeling a little sombre. Couple of last minutes goals yesterday hit me back to break even from prominent positions and unlikely unders/overs landed when cashed out. That's the name of the game. China I think will beat Uzbekistan in today's international friendly, this is 2.2 with Bet365. Ideally, we'd want an Uzbekistan very early goal, or the game to drift to 0-0 at HT if you plan to get on China in play.

Really looking forward to the tennis action. Sharapova is 1.9 with MarathonBet and that's where my money would go if I was on it. Sharapova has had the harder of the two draws, and that match yesterday with Jankovic will only put her in even better stead I believe if she goes a set down. An Azarenka break of Sharapova serve early in the first may be just enough to give you that bit more value if you plan to back Sharapova anyway.

Glamorgan scored over 300 yesterday with the loss of just 5 wickets. They should push on to around 450. One good first innings score from Gloucester though and the draw will then look extremely likely. With no pressure of a run-chase and perfect batting conditions, the draw at 1.8 on Betfair looks half decent. If you fancy Glamorgan to knock over Gloucetershire though, then 1.77 also looks tempting, personally I think the former has more chance of landing.

In the other tennis match, then the only viable hope is that Williams goes a set down against Errani. Even then you may only get odds of 1.3-1.4 for her to win the match though. A set down and a break down early in the second would be like gold dust, I suggest you take it if that happens.

I also think Armenia U21s will beat Iceland U21s at 2.22 in the youth football qualifiers.