Swansea v Liverpool

Could be zzzzoring

Okay, this game could be a turgid piece of shit but I wouldn't really have the confidence to back anything with a great deal of certainty. It's going to be kind of like Brendan Rodgers v Brendan Rodgers with both sides looking to pass the ball as aimlessly as possible. I wouldn't be surprised if both teams had 80% possession!

On the face of it, under 2.5 looks the shout. Swansea like to play an ultra possession game, but with the introduction of Shelvey into their side they do possess the ability now to be more direct. However, the emphasis is still more or less on slow build up and a safety first mentality. Whilst Liverpool are undefeated they have their points tally mainly due to their excellent defensive work. Liverpool are sort of playing a Jose game these days snatching an early goal, then clinging on for dear life defending it.

The biggest threat to the unders market then would be a Swansea early goal which may trigger a goal fest. Ultimately, I would think both managers would be content with a point and the draw at 3.45 may be another angle you may want to consider. I can't see Liverpool losing this I have to be honest, but obviously a £20 lay at 3.5 would be exposing yourself to a £50 loss.

Jonjo Shelvey is 3.5 to be booked and I like these odds. The man's an idiot and together with what could be frantic midfield action and the fact that he's facing the Reds I reckon this has a nice chance of landing.

Recommendations
Under 2.5 goals, 1.82.
Jonjo Shelvey to be booked anytime, 3.50.

And the winner of the mug bet yesterday was.......SWANSEA!

Swansea - the mug bet of the night

Every man and his dog yesterday opted for a Swansea win in one of the 'bankers' of the day. It once again highlighted the rather murky world of online tipster service and the 'sing when you're winning' mentality. Swansea were around 1.9x to win yesterday, and there was a raft of backers at this price.

I warned against this bet as a) Swansea had a more than comfortable 4-0 lead from the first leg b) they may put in some effort but ultimately the psychology of the match would mean that most would operate to just kill the game off c) Malmo could not be worse than the first leg in front of their home fans.

The line was +1 Malmo at 1.90. This I thought was the bet to go for.

The match finished 0-0, which was hardly surprising given the complete context of everything. What was worth pointing out is that hardly any that backed Swansea for the outright win came out and highlighted that loss. It just re-iterates that a good tipster is one who shows clearly their winnings and their losses.

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